Stocks.

·Cloud platforms

Oracle Corporation

$168.92
+2.18%

9 of 22

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OCI + huge AI training contracts; database cash funding the build.

$471B

8 of 22

33.7

1 of 2in sector

Cloud YoY
+22%

2 of 2

Op margin
30.5%

2 of 2in sector

Backlog
$98B RPO
More angles · 6

The headline metrics above sit at the top because they're what most readers glance at first. These six dimensions are where a tech-focused study actually lives — capital intensity, margin trajectory, concentration risk, and the per-sub-sector quality metrics this kind of business is judged on.

16.1%
20.2%
23.4%

OCI capacity catch-up vs hyperscaler peers

8.0%
Net debt
$67B

the trade-off — funded the cloud sprint with leverage

3yr rev CAGR
+8%

Stands out in coverage

Where ORCL leads — and where it trails — the rest of coverage

3 callouts

Leads

  • Lowest P/E33.7in Software / Cloud vs 1 peer

Trails

  • Lowest Cloud YoY+22%vs 1 peer
  • Lowest Op margin30.5%in Software / Cloud vs 1 peer

Fundamental rows (P/E, margins, growth) rank ORCL against same-sector peers that disclose the metric — a high P/E means different things in different sectors, so the comparison stays within one. Sectors with only one ticker in coverage fall back to the full catalog so the chip isn't silently dropped. Market cap and today's move stay coverage-wide — those are positional summaries, not quality reads. Direction (higher- or lower-is-better) is editorial; rows we don't have a confident direction on are skipped. Structural ranking, not individualised investment advice.

What changed on the call

How management's posture shifted from FY26-Q3 to FY26-Q4

2 quarters
Tone
balancedconstructive
Guidance
maintainedraised FY rev guide

This quarter · FY26-Q4

Called 2026-06-11

OCI (Oracle Cloud Infrastructure) growth re-accelerated as AI training workloads ramped on the new GPU clusters. RPO (remaining performance obligations) jumped on multi-year AI infrastructure contracts. Management framed OCI as supply-constrained on GPU capacity.

  • OCI revenue growth re-accelerated; AI training the explicit driver.
  • RPO grew triple-digits; multi-year AI infrastructure contracts called out as the load-bearing line.
  • Capacity described as supply-constrained on GPU clusters; data-center build-out the gating factor.
  • Database cloud migrations continued at prior pace; not the headline story this cycle.

Prior · FY26-Q3

Called 2026-03-10

OCI growth solid but below internal expectations as new GPU capacity slipped; RPO grew on contracts signed but not yet ramped. Database cloud migration paced as planned. Management more cautious than the prior quarter, citing supply timing.

  • OCI growth below internal target; management attributed the gap to GPU delivery timing, not demand.
  • RPO grew on contracts already signed — the disconnect between bookings and revenue was the central question.
  • Database cloud migration on plan; not the focus of the call.
  • Management characterised the supply-timing gap as a one-to-two quarter issue, not structural.
New this quarter
oci ai accelerationrpo jumpai infra contractsgpu capacity constraineddata-center build-out
Dropped from prior
oci below targetgpu supply timingrpo vs revenue gapdatabase migration steadysupply not structural

Publisher summary. Structured editorial commentary, not a verbatim transcript.

Recent insider activity

5 insider sales on the tape

· last 30 days
Net 30-day flow
−$17.3M

Sells outweigh buys

Distinct insiders
5

0 buying · 5 selling

Of which planned
100%

share of selling

Latest filings

  • Elena Petrova · Chief Product Officer

    Filed May 11, 2026

    $3.5M

    Plan sell11.9K sh

  • Sofia Alvarez · EVP Engineering

    Filed May 7, 2026

    $3.4M

    Plan sell11.9K sh

  • Marcus Whitfield · Director

    Filed May 2, 2026

    $3.4M

    Plan sell11.8K sh

  • Priya Ramesh · Director

    Filed Apr 30, 2026

    $3.4M

    Plan sell11.7K sh

  • Daniel O'Connor · General Counsel

    Filed Apr 27, 2026

    $3.5M

    Plan sell12.2K sh

Public Form 4 record. Plan-scheduled sales () are flagged so they don't read as conviction sales.

& borrow

Crowded short setup on ORCL — squeeze risk in both directions

Crowded short

on the borrow

Short interest is 18.3% of float with 67% utilization and rising borrow cost — the kind of crowded-short profile that historically reads as elevated volatility around ORCL. Cuts both ways: a rally forces covering, a fundamental miss feeds the thesis.

18.27%

Elevated

6.0d

Constrained

23.0%

risingExpensive

67%

Available

Public short-interest disclosure (Reg SHO) and securities-lending read. The pressure label is publisher commentary, weighted into the verdict — not a directional call.

Government activity

ORCL carries an anchor-tier federal contract book

Anchor federal book

footprint

Cumulative U.S. government awards on record total $510M — an anchor-tier federal contract book that reads as structural recurring revenue (security clearance, FedRAMP authorisation, and multi-year IDIQ vehicles are all moats that take years to replicate).

$510M

Material

Net congressional flow
+$216K

Net buying

Disclosures
3

3 buys · 0 sells

Recent STOCK Act disclosures

  • Rep. Sample Member-C · House

    Traded Apr 30, 2026

    +$100,001–$250,000

    Buy

  • Sen. Sample Member-F · Senate

    Traded Apr 12, 2026

    +$15,001–$50,000

    Buy

  • Sen. Sample Member-E · Senate

    Traded Mar 24, 2026

    +$1,001–$15,000

    Buy

Public-record STOCK Act disclosures and federal contract awards. The pattern label is publisher commentary on the data — apolitical and not a directional call.

Quiver ↗

& positioning

Mixed options tape on ORCL — both sides are paying for size

Mixed tape
$10.4M

4 notable prints — active tape

50% / 50%

Balanced split

Bull / bear premium
50% / 50%

Both sides paying

Largest single print
$2.66M

Large block

Largest prints · ORCL

  • ORCL 2026-06-19 C319

    CALL·bearish·2026-05-13

    $2.66M
  • ORCL 2026-06-19 P261

    PUT·bullish·2026-05-10

    $2.61M
  • ORCL 2026-06-19 P261

    PUT·bullish·2026-05-12

    $2.59M
  • ORCL 2026-06-19 C319

    CALL·bearish·2026-05-11

    $2.57M

Public OPRA prints filtered to large, premium-weighted sweeps. The conviction label is publisher commentary — a confirmation read, not a directional call.

change

Substantial rewrite in ORCL's latest 10-K

Substantial edit

Substantial language change

ORCL’s latest 10-K reads 29.3% different from the prior comparable filing (0000950170-25-087926) — edits concentrated in Item 7 MD&A, Item 1A Risk Factors. The research finds material rewrites of risk-factor and MD&A language historically predict underperformance, on the read that management quietly tweaks the wording before the market reprices.

Form
10-K

Annual report

Filed
Jun 22, 2026

Future-dated

Δ vs prior
29.3%

Heavy rewrite

Sections moved
2

2 sections

Per-section delta

  • Item 7 MD&A

    MD&A — narrative discussion of results and forward posture

    Δ 44.8%

    Heavy

  • Item 1A Risk Factors

    Risk factors — management's enumerated risks to the business

    Δ 15.6%

    Material

Year-over-year shingle-cosine diff of / Risk Factors and MD&A. Material edits historically predict underperformance — publisher commentary on a public filing, not a directional call.

Running Haiku → Sonnet pipeline…

History · ORCL

6 items
Daily insightFX Leaders · 2026-07-22
6d ago

Wells Fargo and Mizuho maintain bullish ORCL views despite 34% YTD slide

Despite Oracle losing roughly 34% of its value since January 2026 and trading near a 52-week low, Wells Fargo continues to hold a Buy rating, while Mizuho analysts argue ORCL could more than double from current levels. Analysts cite ORCL's record remaining-performance-obligations backlog of $638 billion and accelerating cloud infrastructure revenue — up 93% in Q4 — as underpinning the constructive stance.

Price moveYahoo Finance · 2026-07-21
6d ago

Oracle stock down over 50% since June, trading near 4-year valuation lows

Oracle (ORCL) shares have plunged more than 50% since June 2, 2026, bringing the year-to-date decline to approximately 36% versus a 9% gain for the S&P 500. The stock's forward price-to-earnings ratio has compressed to roughly 15.5 times, its lowest level in more than four years, according to Yahoo Finance AlphaSpace data.

NewsCNBC · 2026-07-21
6d ago

Mizuho reiterates ORCL Outperform, sees 164% upside from multi-year lows

Mizuho analyst Siti Panigrahi reiterated an Outperform rating and $320 price target on Oracle (ORCL) on July 21, 2026, noting that shares at multi-year lows represent "one of the most attractive risk/reward profiles" in coverage. Oracle is down roughly 38% year-to-date, and Mizuho argues the stock trades at a discount to every comparable infrastructure peer despite above-peer cloud growth.

NewsYahoo Finance · 2026-07-21
6d ago

Oracle faces $7B+ collateral demand for Wisconsin AI data center

Wisconsin's Public Service Commission declined to ease credit requirements for utility provider We Energies, potentially requiring Oracle (ORCL) to post more than $7 billion in financial may support — a commitment that could cost over $100 million annually — for its planned 1GW, $15 billion Port Washington data center campus. Oracle has filed a lawsuit against the Commission over the rules.

NewsCryptoBriefing · 2026-07-21
6d ago

S&P Cuts Oracle Credit Rating to One Notch Above Junk Amid Capex Surge

S&P Global downgraded Oracle's (ORCL) long-term issuer credit rating to BBB-minus — one notch above junk — in July 2026, citing persistent underestimation of capital expenditures. Oracle spent $55.7 billion on data centers in fiscal 2026, exceeding its $50 billion guidance, and ended the year $23.7 billion in the red, with fiscal 2027 spending projected at $90–$95 billion.

NewsStock Analysis · 2026-07-21
6d ago

CLSA initiates Oracle with Hold, warns AI cloud bet may need $500B in capital

CLSA analyst Bhavtosh Vajpayee began coverage of Oracle (ORCL) with a Hold rating and a $145 price target on July 21, warning that the company's aggressive push into AI cloud infrastructure could require as much as $500 billion in capital. Oracle shares fell more than 3.5% on the initiation, extending a deep pullback from their late-2025 high of $345.72.

Peers in coverage

Other tickers in Software / Cloud, then more from the coverage list.

Compare 4 side by side

Same impersonal verdict shown on each profile page, surfaced for discovery. The order does not account for your positions or concentration. Browse the full list on the screener.

What this profile tracks

  • PriceDaily move and a session .
  • Filings / text diffs and material .
  • Insider and sales.
  • Short side, , and — squeeze pressure flagged.
  • Government congressional disclosures and awards.
  • OptionsLarge prints, weighted by — call / put split and conviction tag.
  • SentimentAggregated, decayed .
  • NewsCurated wires and press releases.
  • AI takesAsk the assistant — it knows you're on ORCL.