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Micron Technology

$112.73

+3.05%

4 of 22

Memory cyclical levered to HBM demand from AI accelerators.

: $125B
P/E (fwd): 12.6
: +84%
: 39.0%
: 2.9%

More angles · 6

The headline metrics above sit at the top because they're what most readers glance at first. These six dimensions are where a tech-focused study actually lives — capital intensity, margin trajectory, concentration risk, and the per-sub-sector quality metrics this kind of business is judged on.

HBM rev mix: ramping
: 35.0%
: 12.0%
: 10.0%
DRAM/NAND split: ~73% / 27%
3yr rev CAGR: +18%

Track in portfolio Back to feed

What changed on the call

No call summary available for MU yet.

Recent insider activity

5 insider sales on the tape

· last 30 days

Net 30-day flow: −$24.0M
Distinct insiders: 5
Of which planned: 100%

Latest filings

Daniel O'Connor · General Counsel
Filed May 7, 2026
−$4.9M
Plan sell12.9K sh
Jane Doe · CFO
Filed May 3, 2026
−$4.8M
Plan sell12.8K sh
Michael Chen · CEO
Filed Apr 28, 2026
−$4.8M
Plan sell12.7K sh
Hiroshi Tanaka · SVP Sales
Filed Apr 26, 2026
−$4.8M
Plan sell12.7K sh
Elena Petrova · Chief Product Officer
Filed Apr 23, 2026
−$4.8M
Plan sell12.6K sh

Public Form 4 record. Plan-scheduled sales () are flagged so they don't read as conviction sales.

EDGAR ↗

& borrow

Moderate short pressure on MU

Moderate pressure

: 17.04%
: 5.6d
: 21.4%
: 66%

Public short-interest disclosure (Reg SHO) and securities-lending read. The pressure label is publisher commentary, weighted into the verdict — not a directional call.

FINRA ↗

Government activity

Congressional disclosures lean toward MU buying

Congress buying

: $0
Net congressional flow: +$3M
Disclosures: 4

Recent STOCK Act disclosures

Sen. Sample Member-G · Senate
Traded Apr 26, 2026
+$250,001–$500,000
Buy
Rep. Sample Member-B · House
Traded Apr 20, 2026
+$50,001–$100,000
Buy
Rep. Sample Member-A · House
Traded Apr 13, 2026
+$15,001–$50,000
Buy
Rep. Sample Member-D · House
Traded Apr 5, 2026
+$1,000,001–$5,000,000
Buy

Public-record STOCK Act disclosures and federal contract awards. The pattern label is publisher commentary on the data — apolitical and not a directional call.

Quiver ↗

& positioning

Call-side conviction on MU — premium is leaning bullish

Bullish conviction

Call-side conviction

Notable call-side prints account for $9.64M of $9.64M in total premium on MU — the kind of one-sided tape that reads as institutional positioning for upside. Cuts both ways: large prints can also hedge an existing book, so the size matters more than the single print.

: $9.64M
: 75% / 25%
Bull / bear premium: 100% / 0%
Largest single print: $2.45M

Largest prints · MU

MU 2026-06-19 C415
CALL·bullish·2026-05-14
$2.45M
MU 2026-06-19 C415
CALL·bullish·2026-05-11
$2.42M
MU 2026-06-19 C415
CALL·bullish·2026-05-10
$2.40M
MU 2026-06-19 P340
PUT·bullish·2026-05-12
$2.37M

Public OPRA prints filtered to large, premium-weighted sweeps. The conviction label is publisher commentary — a confirmation read, not a directional call.

CBOE ↗

change

Moderate edits in MU's latest 10-K

Moderate edit

Moderate language change

MU’s latest 10-K reads 16.4% different from the prior comparable filing (0000723125-24-000027) — edits concentrated in Item 7 MD&A. The research finds material rewrites of risk-factor and MD&A language historically predict underperformance, on the read that management quietly tweaks the wording before the market reprices.

Form: 10-K
Filed: Oct 3, 2025
Δ vs prior: 16.4%
Sections moved: 1

Per-section delta

Item 7 MD&A
MD&A — narrative discussion of results and forward posture
Δ 95.4%
Heavy
Item 1A Risk Factors
Risk factors — management's enumerated risks to the business
Δ 4.1%
Quiet

Year-over-year shingle-cosine diff of / Risk Factors and MD&A. Material edits historically predict underperformance — publisher commentary on a public filing, not a directional call.

EDGAR ↗

Hold

AI · MU

Evidence is balanced or mildly favourable.

61%

trajectory

Held Hold across 6 cycles

HoldJul 22
HoldJul 23
HoldJul 24
HoldJul 25
HoldJul 26
HoldJul 27

Last 6 cached cycles. Each cycle is the same impersonal verdict shown on the profile that day — calls move as the evidence does.

On balance the signal composite for MU (synthetic fixture) reads neutral (0.09). The verdict reflects the weighted blend of 7 signals against the current macro backdrop.

Verdict-stage steelman

If we're wrong, this is why

The strongest argument against the Hold read on MU (synthetic fixture) is opportunistic insider buys: Insider activity is net selling over the trailing 30 days; no cluster buy detected.

Why the call still landed on Hold

That argument is real, but the weighted composite of 0.09 and 71% directional agreement across the signal set — anchored by quality / momentum / value composite — still tilts the read to Hold. A revision would need the opposing signal to broaden, not stay isolated.

Published whether the call is high- or low-confidence — so the bear side is never invisible.

Conditions to watch — not predictions.

weakens read
If MU gross margin falls below 61%
Observe
next 10-Q gross-margin disclosure on the income statement
Horizon
next print
weakens read
If the opportunistic insider buys signal flips negative for two consecutive cycles
Observe
Opportunistic insider buys score in the per-ticker signal report
Horizon
within 2 reporting cycles
weakens read
If the 10-year Treasury yield rises above 4.55%
Observe
FRED DGS10 daily series
Horizon
within 90 days

14 claims · 7 sources

Quality / Momentum / Value composite
Computed
- quality — 0.901
- momentum — 1
Lazy Prices (10-K text change)
Primary filing
- formType — 10-K
- filedAt — 2025-10-03
Opportunistic insider buys
Insider filing
- net30dValueUsd — -24009993
- transactionCount — 5
Short interest & borrow
Market data
- shortInterestPctFloat — 17.04
- daysToCover — 5.6
Earnings-call sentiment
Computed
- available — true
- model — lexicon-fallback (FinBERT in prod)
Government activity
Public record
- govContractAwardsUsd — 0
- congressTradeCount — 4
Options flow
Market data
- printCount — 4
- totalPremiumUsd — 9642785

Tier badges sort the evidence: primary filings and insider disclosures anchor the read; computed signals lean on the sources beneath them. Tap a row to ask the assistant what a specific claim means.

Running Haiku → Sonnet pipeline…

History · MU

5 items

FilingEDGAR · 4

11h ago

$112.73+3.0%

MU filed 4 — insider transaction (Form 4)

MU filed Form 4 with the SEC on 2026-07-27. Filings are primary-source disclosures and outrank aggregated wires on the feed.

NewsRobinhood / Benzinga · 2026-07-22

5d ago

$112.73+3.0%

BofA adds MU to best ideas list, sees 66% upside on open-source AI memory demand

Bank of America added Micron (MU) to its best investment ideas list, arguing that the rise of cheap, open-source AI models — initially seen as a threat to memory chipmakers — is actually accelerating aggregate memory consumption and supports 66% upside for MU shares. The call comes as Micron rebounds toward the $1,090 level after a sector-wide pullback.

Daily insightInvezz · 2026-07-21

6d ago

$112.73+3.0%

Micron's HBM sold out through 2027; 16 multi-year supply agreements secured

Micron has stated it is sold out of High Bandwidth Memory production volumes for both 2026 and 2027, backed by 16 non-cancelable multi-year Strategic Customer Agreements with hyperscalers and AI chip makers. BofA forecasts the global HBM market growing to $246 billion by 2030, and notes that CHIPS Act buyback restrictions on Micron are expected to expire around December 2026, potentially enabling large-scale share repurchases.

NewsFX Leaders · 2026-07-21

6d ago

$112.73+3.0%

Micron posts record-breaking fiscal Q3 revenue of $41.5B, guides Q4 to ~$50B

Micron Technology (MU) reported fiscal Q3 2026 revenue of $41.46 billion — a 4x increase from the year-ago quarter — with non-GAAP EPS of $25.11 and adjusted gross margin of 84.9%, all well ahead of consensus. The company guided Q4 revenue to approximately $50 billion, roughly $6 billion above prior Street expectations, driven by surging HBM and AI memory demand.

Daily insightCNN Markets · 2026-07-21

6d ago

$112.73+3.0%

BofA Adds Micron to US 1 List, Says Chinese AI Is 'No Threat to Memory Demand'

Bank of America added Micron to its US 1 recommended list on July 21, arguing that Chinese AI development does not threaten structural memory demand and that Micron's competitive position in HBM and DRAM remains intact. The move came alongside BofA's broader bullish call on AI-linked memory and storage stocks.

Peers in coverage

Other tickers in Semiconductors, then more from the coverage list.

Compare 4 side by side

Same impersonal verdict shown on each profile page, surfaced for discovery. The order does not account for your positions or concentration. Browse the full list on the screener.

What this profile tracks

PriceDaily move and a session .
Filings / text diffs and material .
Insider and sales.
Short side, , and — squeeze pressure flagged.
Government congressional disclosures and awards.
OptionsLarge prints, weighted by — call / put split and conviction tag.
SentimentAggregated, decayed .
NewsCurated wires and press releases.
AI takesAsk the assistant — it knows you're on MU.