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Signal report cards lazy_prices

Lazy Prices (10-K text change)

Cohen-Malloe-Nguyen (2020) — companies that materially rewrite Risk Factors or MD&A in their 10-K subsequently underperform.

Demo data: this card was rendered from fixtures because no live track record has been computed yet in this environment.

Basket vs SPY

14 flagged ticker-events · 136-day window
HorizonBasketSPYAlphaSample
+30d-1.40%2.60%-4.00%n=14
+60d-3.00%4.80%-7.80%n=12
+90d-4.70%6.90%-11.60%n=9

Returns are equal-weighted, simple arithmetic means of per-ticker forward returns. Alpha = basket minus SPY. Flags younger than the horizon are excluded from that horizon's sample.

Methodology

What the signal measures
Cohen-Malloe-Nguyen (2020) — companies that materially rewrite Risk Factors or MD&A in their 10-K subsequently underperform.
What counts as a flag
Text-change score ≥ 0.20 in the latest 10-K / 10-Q (substantial rewrite).
Sample window
2026-01-01 2026-05-17
Benchmark
SPY

Recent flags

Most recent ticker-events that crossed the flag criteria, newest first. Spot-check the rule against actual signal output.

  • INTC
    bearscore -0.622026-05-08
  • PYPL
    bearscore -0.552026-04-25
  • SNAP
    bearscore -0.712026-04-07
  • PINS
    bearscore -0.582026-03-20

Outputs are informational only and should not be considered individualized investment advice.

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